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Table 2 Dose-response association of specific types of breakfast cereals with all-cause and cause-specific mortality

From: Associations of breakfast cereal consumption with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a large-scale prospective analysis

 

Exposure

  

All-cause mortality

CVD-specific mortality

Cancer-specific mortality

Person years

n (%)

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Porridge, bowls/d

0

1,898,306

141,808 (76.2)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

286,770

21,350 (11.5)

0.91(0.85–0.97)

0.98(0.91–1.05)

0.98(0.92–1.05)

0.90(0.76–1.06)

0.98(0.83–1.15)

0.98(0.83–1.16)

0.96(0.88–1.05)

1.02(0.93–1.12)

1.02(0.94–1.12)

> 0.5-1

301,836

22,519 (12.1)

0.81(0.76–0.87)

0.90(0.84–0.96)

0.89(0.84–0.96)

0.83(0.71–0.97)

0.94(0.81–1.11)

0.95(0.81–1.11)

0.84(0.77–0.92)

0.93(0.85–1.02)

0.93(0.85–1.02)

> 1

6500

491 (0.3)

0.99(0.71–1.39)

1.12(0.79–1.56)

1.08(0.77–1.52)

0.74(0.31–1.79)

0.83(0.34–2.01)

0.80(0.33–1.94)

1.05(0.66–1.66)

1.21(0.76–1.93)

1.19(0.75–1.90)

Muesli, bowls/d

0

1,937,705

144,888 (77.8)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

336,375

24,977 (13.4)

0.79(0.74–0.85)

0.87(0.82–0.93)

0.89(0.83–0.95)

0.80(0.68–0.94)

0.90(0.77–1.06)

0.93(0.80–1.10)

0.82(0.75–0.89)

0.89(0.82–0.98)

0.90(0.82–0.98)

> 0.5-1

214,085

15,914 (8.5)

0.74(0.68–0.80)

0.84(0.78–0.91)

0.85(0.79–0.92)

0.66(0.54–0.80)

0.78(0.64–0.95)

0.80(0.66–0.98)

0.77(0.69–0.86)

0.87(0.78–0.98)

0.88(0.79–0.98)

> 1

5246

389 (0.2)

0.55(0.31–0.96)

0.61(0.35–1.08)

0.61(0.35–1.08)

0.47(0.12–1.90)

0.54(0.13–2.17)

0.55(0.14–2.21)

0.44(0.18–1.06)

0.51(0.21–1.22)

0.51(0.21–1.23)

Plain cereal, bowls/d

0

2,156,410

160,978 (86.5)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

212,470

15,845 (8.5)

1.01(0.94–1.09)

1.04(0.97–1.13)

1.04(0.96–1.12)

0.89(0.74–1.07)

0.92(0.77–1.11)

0.92(0.76–1.11)

1.07(0.97–1.19)

1.10(1.00-1.21)

1.10(0.99–1.21)

> 0.5-1

121,083

9089 (4.9)

1.01(0.93–1.11)

1.04(0.95–1.14)

1.04(0.95–1.14)

1.18(0.97–1.44)

1.21(0.99–1.48)

1.22(1.00-1.50)

1.01(0.89–1.15)

1.04(0.92–1.18)

1.04(0.92–1.19)

> 1

3449

256 (0.1)

0.92(0.51–1.66)

0.93(0.52–1.69)

0.89(0.49–1.61)

0.47(0.07–3.34)

0.48(0.07–3.39)

0.48(0.07–3.39)

0.95(0.43–2.13)

0.99(0.45–2.21)

0.97(0.44–2.17)

Bran cereal, bowls/d

0

2,142,312

160,054 (86.0)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

231,751

17,204 (9.2)

0.83(0.77–0.89)

0.87(0.81–0.94)

0.88(0.81–0.95)

0.63(0.52–0.77)

0.67(0.55–0.82)

0.68(0.55–0.83)

0.86(0.78–0.96)

0.91(0.82–1.01)

0.91(0.82–1.01)

> 0.5-1

116,866

8724 (4.7)

0.82(0.74–0.90)

0.88(0.79–0.97)

0.88(0.80–0.98)

0.85(0.68–1.08)

0.93(0.74–1.18)

0.94(0.75–1.19)

0.76(0.66–0.88)

0.82(0.71–0.95)

0.82(0.71–0.95)

> 1

2482

186 (0.1)

1.34(0.79–2.26)

1.40(0.83–2.37)

1.36(0.80–2.29)

0.99(0.25–3.98)

1.01(0.25–4.03)

0.96(0.24–3.85)

1.66(0.86–3.19)

1.80(0.93–3.47)

1.77(0.92–3.41)

Whole wheat cereal, bowls/d

0

2,030,521

151,544 (81.4)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

249,814

18,631 (10.0)

0.97(0.91–1.05)

1.01(0.94–1.08)

1.00(0.94–1.08)

1.09(0.93–1.28)

1.13(0.96–1.33)

1.12(0.95–1.31)

1.00(0.91–1.10)

1.03(0.94–1.13)

1.03(0.94–1.13)

> 0.5-1

190,546

14,304 (7.7)

0.99(0.92–1.07)

1.03(0.96–1.11)

1.02(0.95–1.10)

1.00(0.84–1.19)

1.05(0.89–1.25)

1.04(0.87–1.24)

1.01(0.91–1.12)

1.05(0.95–1.17)

1.05(0.95–1.16)

> 1

22,531

1689 (0.9)

0.89(0.72–1.09)

0.91(0.75–1.12)

0.89(0.72–1.09)

1.20(0.80–1.81)

1.20(0.80–1.81)

1.17(0.78–1.76)

0.96(0.73–1.26)

1.00(0.76–1.31)

0.98(0.74–1.29)

Oat crunch, bowls/d

0

2,328,852

173,943 (93.4)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

129,052

9586 (5.1)

0.89(0.80–0.98)

0.94(0.85–1.04)

0.95(0.86–1.06)

0.83(0.65–1.07)

0.90(0.70–1.15)

0.93(0.72–1.19)

0.90(0.78–1.03)

0.94(0.82–1.08)

0.95(0.83–1.08)

> 0.5

35,508

2639 (1.4)

0.78(0.64–0.95)

0.82(0.67-1.00)

0.84(0.69–1.02)

0.86(0.56–1.33)

0.92(0.59–1.42)

0.97(0.63–1.50)

0.77(0.59–1.01)

0.81(0.62–1.07)

0.82(0.63–1.08)

Sweetened cereal, bowls/d

0

2,367,388

176,749 (94.9)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

90,448

6736 (3.6)

0.93(0.83–1.04)

0.92(0.82–1.03)

0.93(0.83–1.04)

1.25(0.99–1.59)

1.24(0.97–1.57)

1.26(0.99–1.60)

0.87(0.74–1.02)

0.86(0.73–1.01)

0.86(0.73–1.01)

> 0.5

35,576

2683 (1.4)

1.21(1.03–1.41)

1.16(0.99–1.35)

1.15(0.98–1.34)

0.97(0.65–1.45)

0.94(0.63–1.40)

0.93(0.62–1.39)

1.46(1.20–1.77)

1.42(1.16–1.72)

1.41(1.16–1.72)

Other cereal,

bowls/d

0

2,373,095

177,232 (95.2)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

1.00(Reference)

> 0-0.5

93,133

6914 (3.7)

0.84(0.75–0.95)

0.88(0.79–0.99)

0.87(0.78–0.98)

0.62(0.46–0.86)

0.65(0.48–0.90)

0.65(0.47–0.89)

0.90(0.78–1.04)

0.94(0.81–1.09)

0.94(0.81–1.09)

> 0.5

27,183

2022 (1.1)

0.86(0.70–1.04)

0.90(0.74–1.10)

0.88(0.72–1.07)

0.94(0.60–1.46)

1.00(0.64–1.55)

0.97(0.62–1.51)

0.83(0.63–1.09)

0.89(0.68–1.16)

0.88(0.67–1.15)

  1. Model 1: adjusted for sex, age, Townsend deprivation index (TDI), ethnicity, and education. Model 2: Model 1 also adjusted for smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, BMI, total intake of energy, fat and sugar, red meat, vegetable, fruit, starchy food, bread, milk, coffee, tea, vitamins and minerals. Model 3: Model 2 also adjusted for hypertension, diabetes, high cholesterol, the use of cholesterol drugs, hypertension drugs, insulin drugs, and long stand illnesses